Tier One
Carlos Gonzalez (6.57) - Expect some regression but 30/30 with a .300 BA is a reasonable expectation.
Josh Hamilton (12.13) - When healthy Hamilton is an absolute beast, with 40 HR upside along with a very good BA and a handful of steals.
Matt Kemp (23.14) - His BA fell along with his BABIP last year but he's the only one left on the board with a good shot at 30/25.
Ryan Braun (11.51) - I'm worried about his power as both his FB% and his HR/FB% have dropped a lot since his first two years in the league.
Carl Crawford (15.16) - I don't know why people assume he'll stop running in BOS. Maybe he won't net 55+ SB, but no reason to predict a drop below 40.
Matt Holliday (22.10) - Can't argue with these results. Great value for '11 while Pujols is definitely still in STL.
Nelson Cruz (32.83) - Health is his only weakness.
Shin-Soo Choo (27.46) - You can't argue with consistency. Who doesn't like a .300 hitter with 20/20 potential?
Justin Upton (40.22) - Had an off year after great '09 season. Might make his ADP value more appealing. Bid on a bounceback.
Andre Ethier (39.28) - Had an off year, which makes his draft value even better. Could repeat '09 stats but with better '10 AVG.
Jose Bautista (51.76) - He's got an excellent eye even if the power regresses.
Tier Two
Andrew McCutchen (47.59) - Love this guy's upside. Chance at 20/30 year with good AVG, and he's still developing.
Jason Heyward (50.96) - He'll explode at some point but remember that you're paying for the potential, even if it doesn't develop in 2011.
Jayson Werth (50.31) - His HR, steals, and HR/FB% all fell quite a bit in '10 so don't expect anything too close to 30/30
Curtis Granderson (65.87) - 2010 saw Granderson increase his ISO and HR/FB% while maintaining his excellent SB%. 2011 could be a nice surprise for his owners.
Alex Rios (66.23) - The only red flag in his solid '10 was his drop in SB%.
Jacoby Ellsbury (69.32) - The Sox have committed to him as a leadoff hitter so hopefully he's back on track to run wild.
Jay Bruce (79.63) - Big potential still there, but just not as much SB as we'd originally hoped. Is 30-40 HR out of the question? I don't think so.
B.J. Upton (73.19) - His ISO, FB%, and HR/FB% all increased nicely in '10 so hopefully he can combine his '07 power with his '08-'10 speed.
Colby Rasmus (93.53) - Do you double his first half or his second half for a full year? Not sure he'll repeat 2010, but he's young enough that he could surprise me.
Hunter Pence (83.84) - Was touted to be stellar, then people lost interest despite the fact he's been consistently very good. Good ADP value.
Mike Stanton (135.80) - His power is historic and his K% dropped in the second half of last year so he's moving in the right direction.
Shane Victorino (130.74) - Usually undervalued. Struggles against righties might mean his ADP is pretty accurate, but no reason to think he can't continue at his 3-year average of 14 HR, 31 SB.
Drew Stubbs (185.90) - Pretty safe 20/30 candidate.
Tier Three
Ichiro Suzuki (32.66) - Thought I forgot him, didn't ya? Really, I just can't understand people's obsession with a two-category player, especially when his runs have dropped so much the past couple of years and his speed is good but not game changing, like that of Ellsbury or Crawford.
Jason Bay (200.72) - He's definitely worth a look as a cheap bounce-back player, especially considering his ADP.
Grady Sizemore (97.25) - Remember when he was awesome?
Torii Hunter (94.07) - Used to be great value for ADP, but with loss of SB, now ADP is about right.
Corey Hart (107.85) - Boost in HR is nice. SB drop is partly because he's simply not running as much, so don't expect a 30/20 year, but 25/10 is possible.
Vernon Wells (101.36) - Value worse in LAA. Still, chance at 25 HR and good RBI numbers.
Chris Young (186.24) - The Rickie Weeks of the OF. Good chance to net 25/25, and AVG may not kill you anymore.
Michael Bourn (116.10) - Improving his BB/9, which helps him retain his SB value, but still a one-trick pony.
Bobby Abreu (123.51) - Hope the AVG bounces back, but don't expect 20 HR or 30 SB.
Juan Pierre (129.78) - Why take Ichiro in the third when you can take Pierre in the tenth?
Rajai Davis (263.46) - And why take Pierre in the tenth when you can get Davis in the twentieth?
Delmon Young (105.39) - Goodbye SB, hello HR. Nice FB% and HR/FB bodes well for a 25 HR season.
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