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Less than one month ago, I wrote about my excitement about Randy Wells, and how he's been performing well above expectations this season.
Randy Wells is a slightly opposite case, merely because his ERA stands at a very respectable 3.66. While Wells doesn't have any chance-based factors going against him(like a high BABIP or strand rate, or a excessively low HR/FB%), he's doing the important things well. The amount of guys he's striking out is well ahead of the amount he walks (a 2.63 K/BB), and his groundball rate is above average (48.6%).
What I really like about Wells is that his minor league strikeout rate tells me has the potential to equal Happ's current K/9. If Randy can return to a 7+ K/9 and keep his excellent control(only 2.14 BB/9), he could eclipse the magical 3.0 K/BB threshold. Combine that with his groundball rate, and you have an excellent sleeper for next year.
Today's Cubs game is now in the Top of the 4th, as Wells just surrendered a crushing Grand Slam, helped by his 5 walks in less than 4 innings.
What was once an excellent K/BB ratio (2.63) was just now fallen to a shade above 2.0 (88 Ks to 43 BBs).
Looks like the honeymoon is over, folks.
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