Computer problems postponed the pitchers until about Tuesday, but the hitters are ready to go.
This is your ultimate points league cheat sheet. This is broken into two lists: 1) guys who could be underrated and could reach 400 points given playing time or good health, 2) guys who are overrated and are not worth the pick. You can find the information and reasoning here. And don't forget to check out my reference sheet for consistent players, who deserve a bump up in value.
Guys who slugged .420 and didn’t get enough AB to earn 400 points
C (pts total lowered slightly)
P. Sandoval: .490 SLG, 117 pts in 145 AB = 444 pts in 550 AB; mult. position eligibility
M. Napoli: .586 SLG, 237 pts in 227 AB = 470 in 450
C. Iannetta: .505 SLG, 307 pts in 333 AB = 415 in 450
R. Doumit: .501 SLG, 359 pts in 451 AB = 398 in 500
C. Snyder: .452 SLG, 271 pts in 334 AB = 365 in 450; watch for Montero trade
1B
P. Konerko: .438 SLG, 348 pts in 438 AB; 2nd half SLG of .514; bounce-back = 400+
A. LaRoche: .500 SLG, 393 pts in 492 AB; already near 400, but ADP low; sleeper
C. Davis: .549 SLG, 245 pts in 295 AB = 457 pts in 550 AB
T. Ishikawa: .432 SLG, 65 pts in 95 AB; good chance of 350+ pts in rookie season
R. Shealy: .603 SLG, 72 pts in 73 AB; with playing time, good fantasy bench sleeper
2B
M. DeRosa: .481 SLG, 470 pts in 505 AB; even if no repeat, low ADP; mult. position
O. Hudson: .460 SLG, 296 pts in 407 AB = 400 pts in 550 AB
K. Matsui: .429 SLG, 297 pts in 375 AB = 435 in 550
C. Barmes: .468 SLG, 281 pts in 393 AB = 393 in 550
R. Cano: .468 career SLG, so 2009 rebound = 400+ pts
3B
A. Gordon: .432 SLG, 372 pts in 493 AB = 415 pts in 550 AB; uptick in power = 450+
T. Wigginton: .526 SLG, 318 pts in 386 AB = 453 in 550; mult. position eligible
I. Stewart: .455 SLG, 186 pts in 266 AB = 385 in 550; mult. position; just needs AB
R. Branyan: .583 SLG, 121 pts in 132 AB; watch PT; SEA’s 1B, OF holes could make sleeper
G. Dobbs: .491 SLG, 178 pts in 226 AB; playing time needed, but power, points there
SS
M. Aviles: .480 SLG, 324 in 419 AB = 425 in 550 AB
T. Tulowitzki: 2nd half SLG = .475; full AB in 2009 means 400+ pts
J. Peralta: .473 SLG, 473 pts in 605 AB; still flying under radar, ADP 40 lower than Jeter’s
OF
N. Cruz: .609 SLG, 124 pts in 115 AB = 593 pts in 550 AB; known “sleeper,” but worth it
J. Werth: .498 SLG, 388 pts in 418 AB = 511 in 550; HR-SB sleeper
V. Wells: .497 SLG, 368 pts in 427 AB = 474 in 550; over years, ADP drop; now worth it
F. Lewis: .440 SLG, 351 pts in 468 AB = 413 in 550; extra-base hits (11 3B) huge help
S. Choo: .549 SLG, 323 pts in 317 AB = 560 in 550
J. Willingham: .470 SLG, 295 pts in 351 AB = 462 in 550; WAS means more AB
D. Span: .432 SLG, 320 pts in 347 AB = 507 in 550; extra-base hits help his pts value
C. Dickerson: .608 SLG, 105 pts in 102 AB; even if SLG drops to 08 minor level = 400+ pts
C. Maybin: .563 SLG; .456 SLG in 08 minors; given AB, 400 points are a lock
J. Kubel: .471 SLG, 370 pts in 463 AB = 440 in 550; just needs full PT
N. Schierholtz: .493 SLG, 55 pts in 75 AB = 403 in 550; SF means good bet for PT
J. Upton: .464 SLG, 254 pts in 356 AB = 392 in 550; power there, and better AVG = 400+
L. Scott: .473 SLG, 364 pts in 474 AB = 422 in 550
R. Church: .439 SLG, 238 pts in 319 AB = 410 in 550; with clear head, 350+ a lock
Daniel Murphy: .465 SLG, 339 pts in 415 AB = 450 in 550; needs a position, and a big glove
A. Lind: .439 SLG, 223 pts in 326 AB = 376 in 550; longer shot for 09, but look out in 2010
T. Snider: .466 SLG, 49 pts in 73 AB; not likely here yet in 09, but a keeper pick
Overrated: didn’t earn 400 pts and/or SLG under .420
C
AJ Pierzinski: .417 SLG, 342 pts in 533 AB; OK, but not going to get better
D. Navarro: .408 SLG, 279 pts in 427 AB; AVG hitter better for Roto, not pts leagues
R. Hernandez: .407 SLG, 308 pts in 462 AB; despite 15 HR, not good point value
K. Suzuki: .370 SLG, 313 pts in 530 AB; power not here yet; non-keepers pass in 09
1B
C. Kotchman: .410 SLG, 382 pts in 525 AB; risky unless develops higher AVG or SLG
M. Jacobs: .513 SLG, but with bad AVG, K, BB, even 30+ HR didn’t reach 400 pts
R. Garko: .404 SLG, 368 pts in 495 AB; loss of playing time (V-Mart at 1B?) = no chance at 400
L. Overbay: .419 SLG, 390 pts in 544 AB; without 06 AVG, not worth it anymore
B. Butler: .400 SLG, high groundball % in 2008; unless power spikes, not worth it in 2009
2B
H. Kendrick: .421 SLG, 228 pts in 340 AB = 369 pts in 550 AB; no pop, and AVG not enough
P. Polanco: .417 SLG, 422 pts; loss of AB or AVG drops below 400 pts
A. Iwamura: .380 SLG, only 395 pts in 627 AB
3B
C. Figgins: .318 SLG, 318 pts in 453 AB; as shown in 08, loss of AB (SB) = low pts
P. Feliz: .402 SLG; low AVG, SLG = no fantasy value
B. Hall: .396 SLG; low AVG, SLG = no fantasy value
SS
C. Guzman: .440 SLG, but lots of 1B, and only 393 pts; loss of AVG or AB reduces pts
M. Tejada: .415 SLG; high AB keeping above 400 pts
D. Jeter: .408 SLG; high AB, NYY offense keeping above 400 pts
M. Young: .402 SLG; high AB, TEX offense keeping above 400 pts
Y. Escobar: .401 SLG, 369 pts in 514 AB; good real-world MI, but only OK for pts league
R. Theriot: .359 SLG, 409 pts; loss of AB or SB drops him below 400
OF
I. Suzuki: .386 SLG; singles and SB is his thing; leg injury would destroy value
J. Ellsbury: .392 SLG; see Ichiro, Figgins
D. Young: .405 SLG, 394 pts in 575 AB; AVG likely to drop in 09, not enough power (yet)
C. Crisp: 407 SLG, 282 pts in 361 AB = 430 pts in 550 AB; but 08 was in BOS lineup
J. Francoeur: .359 SLG, 348 pts in 599 AB; needs AVG, power to return, and quick
J. Hermida: .406 SLG, 336 pts in 502 AB; see Francoeur
A. Rowand: .410 SLG, 347 pts in 549 AB; SF’s lack of offense not his only problem
H. Matsui: .424 SLG, 248 pts in 337 AB = 405 in 550; but knee hurt power, and SLG on decline
M. Cuddyer: .370 SLG, 177 pts in 249 AB; 06 is outlier, and PT not guaranteed
Adam Jones: .400 SLG, 302 pts in 477 AB; talented, but not here yet, esp. in pts league
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